Searching for real estate can
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Create the LARGEST real estate information center on the internet. Now
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NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The housing market will get worse
before it gets better - that's the finding of an analysis by Moody's
Economy.com.
In the survey of 379 metro areas, the study's authors
project that nearly 20 areas eventually could experience a "crash," or a
decline of more than 10 percent from peak to trough. The most hard-hit areas
will be in California, the Southwest coast of Florida, and in Arizona and
Nevada.
Nationwide, the study forecasts a 3.6 percent decline in
the sales price of existing homes.
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The table below shows only those markets among the 100
largest by population that are forecast to have declines. In an analysis
that considered mortgage rates, the local job market and other factors, the
study makes projections on when those markets would peak, when they would
hit their worst point, and what the total decline would be
A recent story in the Wall Street Journal,
offered lots of its useful vignettes that serve as a microcosm of manic
markets -- starting with the bravado-cum-denial displayed by a
medical-equipment salesman in Stuart, Fla.
Concerned about his real-estate investment apparently going sour, he can't
afford to reduce the price to what homes now sell for in his neighborhood --
which is about $100,000 less than he's asking. Says the salesman: "If I got
in a jam, I would have to drop the price, but I am not at that point." His
game plan: Rent the house, so as not to "lose my shirt."
That's the mentality often seen in manic markets -- the belief that you
can't possibly lose, and, when the price goes against you, you don't have to
deal with it, because it will come back. This fellow (and millions more like
him) is going to find out that his belief is a mistaken one, in the same way
that folks did when the stock bubble burst.
Beach rental information and listings for
Tybee Island Georgia.
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